[SMM Analysis] Nickel Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products Affected by Declining Nickel Prices, Showing a Downward Trend

Published: Sep 12, 2025 14:58
Nickel hydrometallurgy intermediate product prices showed a downward trend, affected by the decline in nickel prices.

Nickel Intermediate Products Affected by Falling Nickel Prices, Prices Show a Downward Trend

From this week's MHP market performance, transaction activity was weak, but price trends were significantly influenced by nickel prices. Demand side, the overall supply and demand in the intermediate product market is tight, coupled with downstream demand entering the peak season, downstream enterprises' acceptance of high-priced MHP has gradually improved, and demand support has strengthened. Supply side, market available spot cargo remains tight, and seller offers are relatively firm, maintaining at high levels. This week, MHP market activity was relatively low, and the quotation coefficient remained stable. However, due to the release of increased refined nickel supply and high inventory suppressing nickel prices, the transmission impact of LME nickel price declines led to a certain degree of decline in MHP absolute prices.

High-grade nickel matte market, spot inventory is tight but demand is weak, prices fell with nickel prices. The current high-grade nickel matte market presents a divergent pattern of "tight inventory, weak demand." Spot inventory side, the market remains tight, with no significant signs of loosening on the supply side.

Demand side performed weakly, downstream enterprises' purchasing enthusiasm is relatively low, and most smelters have limited acceptance of the current high coefficient for high-grade nickel matte, resulting in overall weak market trading activity. The tight supply and demand situation failed to effectively translate into price support. Price side, directly affected by this week's decline in nickel prices, the absolute price of high-grade nickel matte experienced a certain degree of decline.

As a core raw material for nickel intermediate product production, sulfur prices recently showed a continuous upward trend. Specifically, on one hand, market concerns about the situation in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict have intensified, increasing uncertainty in the sulfur supply chain; on the other hand, during the autumn fertilizer preparation peak season, demand for sulfur in the fertilizer production sector is concentratedly released, with supply and demand fundamentals supporting price increases. September market outlook, demand for sulfur in the fertilizer production sector is expected to continue to be released, providing strong support for sulfur prices. The Indonesian sulfur market price in September is highly likely to remain stable or continue the previous upward trend.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
14 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
14 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
14 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
14 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
14 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
14 hours ago